Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 10,000 simulations of the remainder of season, including the play-in round.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
  First Round Seed  
Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Playoffs Division 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Win 1st Rd Win Semi Win Conf Win Finals
1Milwaukee Bucks58.024.0.707-0.023.6158-24100.0%100.0%100.00.0%0.0%
2Boston Celtics57.025.0.695-0.156.3857-25100.0%100.0%100.0100.0%100.0%
3Philadelphia 76ers54.028.0.6590.064.3754-28100.0%100.0100.0%0.0%
4Cleveland Cavaliers51.031.0.622-0.155.2351-31100.0%100.00.0%0.0%
5New York Knicks47.035.0.5730.062.9947-35100.0%100.0100.0%0.0%
6Brooklyn Nets45.037.0.5490.181.0345-37100.0%100.00.0%0.0%
7Atlanta Hawks41.041.0.5000.020.3241-41100.0%100.00.0%0.0%
8Miami Heat44.038.0.5370.18-0.1344-38100.0%100.0%100.0100.0%100.0%100.0%18.9%
9Toronto Raptors41.041.0.5000.121.5941-41
10Chicago Bulls40.042.0.4880.071.3740-42
11Washington Wizards35.047.0.4270.15-1.0635-47
12Indiana Pacers35.047.0.4270.28-2.9135-47
13Orlando Magic34.048.0.4150.17-2.3934-48
14Charlotte Hornets27.055.0.3290.35-5.8927-55
15Detroit Pistons17.065.0.2070.49-7.7317-65

Table
  First Round Seed  
Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Playoffs Division 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Win 1st Rd Win Semi Win Conf Win Finals
1Denver Nuggets53.029.0.646-0.293.0453-29100.0%100.0%100.0100.0%100.0%100.0%81.1%
2Memphis Grizzlies51.031.0.622-0.343.6051-31100.0%100.0%100.00.0%0.0%
3Sacramento Kings48.034.0.585-0.352.3048-34100.0%100.0%100.00.0%0.0%
4Phoenix Suns45.037.0.5490.012.0845-37100.0%100.0100.0%0.0%
5Los Angeles Clippers44.038.0.537-0.190.3144-38100.0%100.00.0%0.0%
6Golden State Warriors44.038.0.537-0.151.6644-38100.0%100.0100.0%0.0%
7Los Angeles Lakers43.039.0.524-0.150.4343-39100.0%100.0100.0%100.0%
8Minnesota Timberwolves42.040.0.512-0.18-0.2242-40100.0%100.00.0%0.0%
9New Orleans Pelicans42.040.0.512-0.261.6342-40
10Oklahoma City Thunder40.042.0.488-0.120.9640-42
11Dallas Mavericks38.044.0.463-0.22-0.1438-44
12Utah Jazz37.045.0.451-0.09-1.0337-45
13Portland Trail Blazers33.049.0.4020.05-3.9633-49
14San Antonio Spurs22.060.0.2680.22-9.8222-60
15Houston Rockets22.060.0.2680.24-7.6222-60