Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 10,000 simulations of the remainder of season, including the play-in round.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
  First Round Seed Pre Play-In  
Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8   1-6 7 8 9 10 Out   Win Conf Win Finals
1Boston Celtics55.926.1.682-0.350.185.6138-1618-1064-1847-35100.0%93.4%75.817.64.81.50.3100.033.7%24.1%
2Milwaukee Bucks52.629.4.641-0.180.342.5537-1716-1262-2043-39100.0%58.8%13.039.725.115.85.70.7100.010.4%5.5%
3Cleveland Cavaliers51.330.7.6250.18-1.055.4334-2217-959-2341-4199.9%41.2%7.127.333.021.49.61.30.299.70.328.6%19.7%
4Philadelphia 76ers50.431.6.614-0.581.123.0834-1816-1460-2241-4199.8%6.0%3.813.127.136.315.03.60.70.298.90.80.20.111.7%6.6%
5Brooklyn Nets47.834.2.583-0.120.411.8232-2116-1358-2438-4498.2%0.6%0.32.39.120.846.414.33.51.693.14.81.50.40.15.9%2.8%
6Miami Heat43.238.8.5260.100.120.2129-2514-1454-2833-4973.0%69.1%0.51.910.128.917.813.741.522.413.910.46.85.11.6%0.6%
7New York Knicks43.438.6.529-0.020.301.7329-2614-1352-3034-4875.8%0.31.77.127.223.615.936.327.716.610.55.63.33.8%1.9%
8Chicago Bulls41.240.8.5020.12-0.050.9126-2715-1450-3232-5050.4%0.10.32.88.119.719.411.215.823.219.115.315.51.8%0.7%
9Atlanta Hawks40.941.1.499-0.090.16-0.3327-2714-1450-3232-5043.5%23.6%0.32.49.914.916.012.613.917.619.017.019.90.8%0.3%
10Washington Wizards38.943.1.4740.33-0.44-0.3324-2915-1448-3429-5321.2%7.2%0.42.56.811.52.95.39.514.619.148.60.5%0.2%
11Toronto Raptors39.642.4.4830.34-0.460.9225-3015-1248-3431-5129.5%0.33.210.215.83.57.613.017.520.538.01.1%0.4%
12Indiana Pacers37.244.8.4540.44-0.30-1.8225-3012-1547-3529-538.5%0.10.32.55.60.41.44.48.014.171.90.1%
13Orlando Magic33.848.2.4120.190.11-2.8722-3212-1644-3824-580.4%0.1%0.40.10.41.797.8
14Detroit Pistons23.059.0.2800.76-0.41-6.6614-419-1834-4815-67100.0
15Charlotte Hornets24.357.7.2960.400.21-6.1815-409-1834-4817-65100.0

Table
  First Round Seed Pre Play-In  
Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8   1-6 7 8 9 10 Out   Win Conf Win Finals
1Denver Nuggets53.728.3.655-0.21-0.243.6337-1717-1163-1943-39100.0%99.9%88.610.40.90.1100.027.5%12.7%
2Memphis Grizzlies49.532.5.604-0.19-0.443.4232-2118-1159-2340-4299.7%92.0%10.363.918.53.81.80.80.50.398.90.60.30.10.123.8%10.1%
3Sacramento Kings45.736.3.557-0.650.402.0330-2316-1355-2735-4792.9%56.0%0.914.832.316.011.08.35.83.983.36.14.32.71.81.812.1%4.0%
4Dallas Mavericks43.438.6.5290.06-0.620.6429-2614-1352-3034-4875.3%5.0%0.12.89.116.414.713.010.28.956.210.89.98.66.18.55.5%1.6%
5Phoenix Suns43.238.8.527-0.040.231.2729-2614-1352-3035-4774.9%21.1%2.712.413.813.812.410.59.455.111.29.68.26.49.66.9%2.1%
6New Orleans Pelicans43.039.0.525-0.07-0.491.7528-2715-1252-3033-4972.1%3.0%1.87.014.414.013.111.610.250.311.510.19.37.111.87.8%2.5%
7Golden State Warriors42.339.7.5160.02-0.170.2928-2614-1452-3033-4960.8%11.2%1.66.69.210.211.011.810.538.511.511.711.49.717.23.7%1.0%
8Los Angeles Clippers42.739.3.521-0.721.19-0.3831-2612-1352-3035-4762.5%11.6%1.47.49.611.312.010.99.941.611.611.310.99.415.32.5%0.6%
9Minnesota Timberwolves41.340.7.504-0.370.470.1829-2712-1452-3032-5044.6%0.32.24.96.98.59.912.022.710.411.412.813.729.12.4%0.6%
10Utah Jazz41.140.9.5010.00-0.230.8227-2814-1350-3232-5045.1%0.21.85.06.68.710.512.322.310.111.111.613.431.63.2%1.0%
11Oklahoma City Thunder40.741.3.4960.20-0.491.1125-2816-1351-3131-5137.4%0.11.44.35.36.79.310.417.88.29.510.513.540.73.1%0.8%
12Portland Trail Blazers39.942.1.487-0.190.220.0026-2814-1450-3229-5327.6%0.10.62.23.84.87.18.911.56.58.49.712.251.81.5%0.4%
13Los Angeles Lakers37.944.1.462-0.140.32-1.4025-2913-1549-3328-547.1%0.1%0.10.30.60.92.03.31.81.72.64.26.782.90.1%
14Houston Rockets21.260.8.2580.260.30-7.6413-418-2032-5013-69100.0
15San Antonio Spurs20.961.1.2550.48-0.04-9.5614-407-2130-5214-68100.0